The service area sits in a moderate heat climate band rather than one with hard freeze-thaw cycles, so Mission Bend's tracks don't crack from cold the way they might further north. The wear here is slower and more mechanical: three-plus decades of daily temperature swings loosening the lag bolts that hold the track to the framing, nylon rollers wearing down from thousands of open-close cycles, and track brackets that were torqued once in 1986 and never touched since.
Across the broader area, most homes date to the 1980s and 90s, and Mission Bend's own housing sits right in that window at a median build year of 1986. A door built then has had a long run on the original track. Rollers wear unevenly, especially on the side that gets more sun through the day, and an uneven roller pulls the door slightly out of square every time it runs - small at first, then one day it jumps the track on a cold morning or after someone bumps it with a car bumper.
A single bent track rail from an impact is the other common cause, and that one shows up suddenly rather than building over years.